Michael Feldstein at e-Literate responded to some comments by James Farmer about WebCT and open source.
Feldstein suggests three choices that are open to the LMS vendors. They could go open source and sell services, provide an integration framework that makes it easy to link in open source and other components, or create high quality components that can be sold as plug-ins to their open source successors. He offers a vision of the imminent future of e-learning:
The monolithic closed source LMS is dead meat. Most of the competitors just don’t realize it yet. What we’ll have is an Open Source Learning Management Operating System–a service-oriented integration framework that lets schools–and individual faculty members–plug in the components (whether Open or closed) that are best for them.